000
FOPZ13 KNHC 181436
PWSEP3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CELIA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032022
1500 UTC SAT JUN 18 2022
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION CELIA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 12.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 90.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
10N 105W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4)
15N 105W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 18(24)
15N 105W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5)
15N 105W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
MANZANILLO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
10N 100W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5)
15N 100W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6)
10N 95W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
P SAN JOSE 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
15N 110W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6)
$$
FORECASTER PAPIN