Pacific Hurricane Feed

Tropical Depression Celia Forecast Advisory



000
WTPZ23 KNHC 192041
TCMEP3

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP032022
2100 UTC SUN JUN 19 2022

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.7N  93.5W AT 19/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 260 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  25 KT WITH GUSTS TO  35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.7N  93.5W AT 19/2100Z
AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.7N  93.1W

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 12.1N  94.8W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 11.5N  96.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 11.6N  98.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 12.1N 100.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 12.5N 102.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  70SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 13.0N 103.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  80SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 14.7N 106.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 16.3N 108.6W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.7N  93.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER PAPIN




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