Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 981

   Mesoscale Discussion 0981
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0246 PM CDT Sun May 26 2024

   Areas affected...portions of the Ozarks...mid Mississippi River
   Valley and western Tennessee Valley

   Concerning...Outlook upgrade 

   Valid 261946Z - 262045Z

   SUMMARY...Confidence has increased that severe storms capable of
   strong tornadoes, very large hail, and intense damaging winds are
   likely this afternoon and continuing into the evening. An upgrade to
   a Tornado/Wind driven Moderate Risk is forthcoming at 20z.

   DISCUSSION...Rapid air mass recovery is ongoing along a remnant
   outflow boundary over portions of central and eastern MO, northeast
   AR, southern IL/IN and western KY/TN. Confidence has increased in a
   significant severe risk such that an upgrade to a categorical
   Moderate Risk (15% Sig Tornado and 45% Sig Wind) will be forthcoming
   at 20z. Please see MCD #980 for the relevant environmental
   information and the upcoming 20z Convective Outlook for more
   information.

   ..Lyons/Bentley.. 05/26/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...LMK...OHX...PAH...MEG...LSX...LZK...SGF...

   LAT...LON   36109166 36349206 36789231 37279241 37559240 37989235
               38219226 38359195 38359171 38409044 38288937 38018791
               37878736 37588662 37218636 36688627 36248653 35968685
               35758733 35708859 35708956 35759055 35989134 36109166