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Mesoscale Discussion 953 | |
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Mesoscale Discussion 0953 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0222 PM CDT Sat May 25 2024 Areas affected...easter portions of the Florida Peninsula Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 251922Z - 252115Z Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent SUMMARY...A couple of strong wind gusts or an instance of large hail may accompany the stronger storms, particularly those that can remain near sea-breeze boundaries. The severe threat should remain isolated and a WW issuance is not expected. DISCUSSION...Multiple pulse-cellular thunderstorms have developed due to localized convergence along sea-breeze boundaries over the past few hours. Along the sea-breeze boundary, locally stronger deep-layer shear exists (per 19Z mesoanalysis). As such, any storm that can anchor to the sea-breeze for a longer period of time will be capable of becoming transient supercellular, perhaps accompanied with the risk of strong wind gusts or an instances or two of hail. Nonetheless, the localized and brief nature of the severe threat along the sea-breeze boundary precludes a WW issuance. ..Squitieri/Bunting.. 05/25/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...MFL...MLB...TBW... LAT...LON 28208086 27768034 26628002 25998012 25878050 26228090 27058107 27598117 27848123 28208086 |
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