Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 950

   Mesoscale Discussion 0950
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0103 PM CDT Sat May 25 2024

   Areas affected...portions of extreme eastern Georgia into South
   Carolina and extreme southern North Carolina

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 251803Z - 252000Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

   SUMMARY...Isolated damaging gusts and a couple instances of hail may
   accompany the stronger pulse storms through the afternoon. Given the
   expected sparse severe coverage, a WW issuance is not expected.

   DISCUSSION...To the east of the more organized thunderstorms over
   GA, a moist airmass continues to destabilize over SC into extreme
   southern NC with prolonged diurnal heating. Surface temperatures are
   approaching 90 F in spots, with surface dewpoints in the upper 60s F
   contributing to 1500 J/kg MLCAPE. Tropospheric flow fields (and thus
   deep-layer shear) are weak, so the overall severe threat should be
   sparse with pulse-cellular storms today, and a WW issuance not
   expected. Nonetheless, the available buoyancy will promote wet
   downbursts with isolated damaging gust potential and perhaps some
   hail.

   ..Squitieri/Bunting.. 05/25/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...RAH...ILM...CHS...CAE...GSP...

   LAT...LON   31838078 32668171 33568235 34148208 34638118 34927969
               34747871 34397805 34117791 33857831 33317905 32957942
               32398027 31988060 31838078