US Mesoscale Discussions

Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 931

   Mesoscale Discussion 0931
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1233 PM CDT Fri May 24 2024

   Areas affected...portions of central Georgia into central and
   southern South Carolina

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 241733Z - 241900Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

   SUMMARY...A couple instances of severe hail or wind could accompany
   the stronger storms. The severe threat is expected to be isolated,
   and a WW issuance is not currently expected.

   DISCUSSION...Convective initiation is underway across portions of
   central GA, where convective temperatures have been reached. These
   storms should continue eastward amid a moist, buoyant airmass, with
   upper 60s F surface dewpoints and 7-8 C/km low-level lapse rates
   contributing to 1500-2000 J/kg of MLCAPE. Tropospheric wind fields
   are not as strong as points farther west though, with some speed
   shear contributing to mid-level hodograph elongation. Through the
   afternoon, pulse-cellular and multicell storms should develop, with
   isolated large hail and damaging gusts possible with the stronger
   storms. Given the isolated nature of the severe threat, a WW
   issuance is not currently anticipated.

   ..Squitieri/Guyer.. 05/24/2024

   ...Please see for graphic product...


   LAT...LON   34308437 34358383 34198270 33828086 33357982 32837973
               32398036 31928095 31938181 32218289 32528344 33148406

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