Mesoscale Discussion 0931
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1233 PM CDT Fri May 24 2024
Areas affected...portions of central Georgia into central and
southern South Carolina
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely
Valid 241733Z - 241900Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent
SUMMARY...A couple instances of severe hail or wind could accompany
the stronger storms. The severe threat is expected to be isolated,
and a WW issuance is not currently expected.
DISCUSSION...Convective initiation is underway across portions of
central GA, where convective temperatures have been reached. These
storms should continue eastward amid a moist, buoyant airmass, with
upper 60s F surface dewpoints and 7-8 C/km low-level lapse rates
contributing to 1500-2000 J/kg of MLCAPE. Tropospheric wind fields
are not as strong as points farther west though, with some speed
shear contributing to mid-level hodograph elongation. Through the
afternoon, pulse-cellular and multicell storms should develop, with
isolated large hail and damaging gusts possible with the stronger
storms. Given the isolated nature of the severe threat, a WW
issuance is not currently anticipated.
..Squitieri/Guyer.. 05/24/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...CHS...CAE...GSP...FFC...
LAT...LON 34308437 34358383 34198270 33828086 33357982 32837973
32398036 31928095 31938181 32218289 32528344 33148406
34308437