Mesoscale Discussion 0902 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0608 PM CDT Wed May 22 2024 Areas affected...Central and East Texas Concerning...Tornado Watch 286... Valid 222308Z - 230115Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 286 continues. SUMMARY...A threat for tornadoes, wind damage and isolated large hail will continue for a few more hours across parts of central and east Texas. As the severe threat moves toward the eastern edge of WW 286, a local extension or new watch may be needed. DISCUSSION...The latest hi-resolution radar imagery from Fort Worth shows a small cluster of intense storms in the northern Texas Hill Country, in Lampasas, Coryell, and McLennan counties. Multiple supercells are ongoing, and one of the storms has had a persistent circulation. This cluster of storms will continue to move eastward into a corridor of extreme instability, where MLCAPE is estimated by the RAP in the 4500 to 5500 J/kg range. The nearest WSR-88D VWP, located at Granger, TX has 0-6 km shear of 45 to 50 knots, and 0-3 km storm-relative helicity fluctuating in the 200 to 300 m2/s2 range over the last half hour. This environment should be favorable for supercells with a tornado threat. A strong tornado will be possible. Supercells will also be capable of isolated large hail. Hailstones of greater than 2 inches in diameter may accompany the most intense updrafts. Also, radar suggests that damaging winds will be likely near the strongest downdrafts, and winds could exceed 70 knots locally. ..Broyles.. 05/22/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...HGX...FWD...EWX...SJT... LAT...LON 30629884 30829975 31080006 31370011 31669994 31919953 31999788 31869614 31719559 31489529 31149528 30859538 30599566 30459616 30449694 30629884