Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 862

   Mesoscale Discussion 0862
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0307 PM CDT Tue May 26 2026

   Areas affected...Portions of Texas Hill Country

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 244...

   Valid 262007Z - 262130Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 244
   continues.

   SUMMARY...Large hail and severe gusts will remain the greatest
   threat in WW 244. There is a locally more favorable zone for
   tornadoes between Eagle Pass and San Antonio.

   DISCUSSION...Linear convection from near Del Rio to east of San
   Angelo has yet to become more substantially organized thus far.
   Continued heating/moistening out ahead of this activity should
   eventually allow for some intensification and upscale growth to
   occur. West of San Antonio, discrete storms have been ongoing. Given
   the very moist (70+ F dewpoints) and the locally enhanced low-level
   shear on the KDFX VAD, these storms will pose the greatest threat of
   a tornado or two and potentially hail around 2 in. over the next
   couple of hours. With time, the expectation remains that a linear
   MCS will develop and move east/southeast later this afternoon.

   ..Wendt/Gleason.. 05/26/2026

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...CRP...EWX...SJT...

   LAT...LON   29040148 30190151 30900079 30910042 30379870 30009835
               29089840 28769890 28379968 28400045 29040148 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-110 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN