Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 860

   Mesoscale Discussion 0860
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0753 AM CDT Tue May 26 2026

   Areas affected...Parts of the Texas Trans Pecos

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 261253Z - 261430Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

   SUMMARY...Locally severe wind gusts and hail are possible with
   storms as they track eastward over the next couple hours. A watch is
   not expected for this activity.

   DISCUSSION...A cluster of storms has emerged over the TX Trans-Pecos
   region, with recent organization of a small cold pool. As these
   storms track eastward along the northern periphery of a weakly
   unstable air mass, around 30 kt of line-normal effective shear and
   increasingly moist inflow may support continued eastward progression
   with an accompanying risk of locally severe wind gusts and isolated
   large hail.

   ..Weinman/Smith.. 05/26/2026

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...MAF...

   LAT...LON   30000345 30710350 30860337 30970287 30930236 30710220
               30160213 29920242 29870312 30000345 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN