Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 809

   Mesoscale Discussion 0809
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0754 PM CDT Thu May 16 2024

   Areas affected...the Permian Basin into central Texas

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 250...

   Valid 170054Z - 170230Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 250
   continues.

   SUMMARY...The damaging wind and large hail threat will persist this
   evening.

   DISCUSSION...A well formed line of storms which produced significant
   wind damage in parts of Midland has grown upscale as it continues to
   accelerate east. This will continue to pose a threat for 70 to 80
   mph wind gusts as it moves east. Ahead of this line, a strong
   supercell which has a history of 2.75 to 3 inch hail continues to
   move east. This supercell and the squall line are both moving toward
   better instability. Additional cells are forming between the squall
   line and the mature supercell, but it is still uncertain if any
   additional well established supercells can develop. Given the more
   favorable downstream environment and the synoptic support from the
   upper-level wave, expect the threat from the squall line and any
   leading supercells to continue for at least a few more hours.

   ..Bentley.. 05/17/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...SJT...MAF...

   LAT...LON   31000187 31470196 32270167 32079971 31439902 30599899
               30530014 30650131 30840174 31000187