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Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 80

Published Date and Time: 2026-02-14 22:04:00



Mesoscale Discussion 80
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   Mesoscale Discussion 0080
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0902 PM CST Sat Feb 14 2026

   Areas affected...Parts of southern/central Louisiana

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 6...

   Valid 150302Z - 150400Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 6 continues.

   SUMMARY...The severe threat will be maximized in parts of
   south-central Louisiana for the next couple hours -- within Tornado
   Watch #6.

   DISCUSSION...A north/south-oriented QLCS with embedded mesovorticies
   is tracking eastward into south-central LA at 35-40 kt. At least one
   or two brief tornadoes have accompanied these circulations near the
   Fort Polk, LA radar during the last hour. While pre-convective
   buoyancy remains limited, a narrow plume of middle/upper 60s
   dewpoints streaming northward ahead of the line will continue to
   destabilize the inflow for the approaching storms. This, combined
   with large clockwise-curved hodographs (around 300-400 m2/s2
   low-level SRH), will continue to promote mesovorticies with a risk
   of tornadoes and locally enhanced wind damage.

   ..Weinman.. 02/15/2026

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...JAN...LIX...LCH...SHV...

   LAT...LON   29889339 30749286 31509260 31699247 31669204 31499177
               31149164 30439166 29769202 29489246 29629333 29889339 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-130 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH


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