Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 797

   Mesoscale Discussion 0797
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0538 PM CDT Wed May 15 2024

   Areas affected...Carolinas

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 245...

   Valid 152238Z - 160015Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 245
   continues.

   SUMMARY...Scattered strong/severe convection will spread across
   ww245 this evening. Marginally severe hail and locally damaging
   winds remain possible.

   DISCUSSION...Water-vapor imagery depicts a mid-level vort
   progressing southeast across the Carolinas early this evening.
   Considerable amount of convection has developed ahead of this
   feature from southern NC into SC, where MLCAPE values are on the
   order of 1500 J/kg. Regional radar data suggests the vort is located
   over Union County NC and downstream convection is gradually growing
   upscale into an MCS-like cluster with embedded weak supercells. MCS
   will likely spread east along/near the surface boundary draped
   across southern NC into northern SC. Marginally severe hail and
   locally damaging winds remain possible with this activity.

   ..Darrow.. 05/15/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...MHX...RAH...ILM...CHS...CAE...GSP...

   LAT...LON   35198128 34897700 33027701 33308128 35198128