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Mesoscale Discussion 710 | |
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Mesoscale Discussion 0710 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0428 PM CDT Wed May 08 2024 Areas affected...southeast Virginia Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 082128Z - 082230Z Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent SUMMARY...An isolated storm across southeast Virginia will pose a large hail and damaging wind threat through the evening. DISCUSSION...A storm has formed within an area of weak low-level confluence across south-central Virginia. The airmass ahead of this storm is very unstable with 1500 to 2500 J/kg MLCAPE. This storm appears to be mostly multi-cellular at this time which is consistent with around 25 to 30 knots of effective shear (per SPC mesoanalysis). Greater storm organization is possible as this storm cluster moves east into greater instability this evening. The environment will support both large hail and damaging wind gusts. Given the isolated nature of the threat, no watch is expected. ..Bentley/Hart.. 05/08/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...AKQ...RAH...RNK... LAT...LON 36827883 37707752 37747595 37027568 36537591 36527799 36597882 36827883 |
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