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Mesoscale Discussion 681 | |
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Mesoscale Discussion 0681 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0405 PM CDT Tue May 07 2024 Areas affected...western/central North Carolina and western Virginia. Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 072105Z - 072230Z Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent SUMMARY...Strong thunderstorms capable of hail and damaging wind gusts are possible this evening. DISCUSSION...A few storms have formed over the mountains and are moving toward greater instability across central North Carolina this afternoon. Amid around 30 to 35 knots of effective shear (per SPC mesoanalysis), storms have been organized with some supercell structures apparent. Given the supercell storm mode and moderate to strong instability and increasing shear through the evening, there will be a threat for large hail and damaging wind gusts with these storms. Height rises and synoptic scale subsidence should keep storm coverage isolated and end the threat by sunset which should preclude the need for a watch. ..Bentley/Hart.. 05/07/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...RAH...RNK...RLX...CAE...GSP...MRX... LAT...LON 37418191 38018159 37587997 36887899 36137892 35657904 34847939 34828125 34998189 35368232 37418191 |
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