US Mesoscale Discussions

Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 636

   Mesoscale Discussion 0636
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0733 PM CDT Sat May 04 2024

   Areas affected...South Plains region to central North Texas

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 183...

   Valid 050033Z - 050230Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 183

   SUMMARY...Local severe risk continues across eastern portions of the
   South Plains, and adjacent western North Texas.

   DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop shows an increase in convective
   coverage across eastern portions of the South Plains and Big Country
   region.  With that said, somewhat modest shear across this region,
   along with less instability than areas farther south, has limited
   overall severe risk to some degree.  With that said, storms are
   forecast to continue moving eastward with time as a low-level jet
   develops this evening, with some severe risk likely to persist --
   given somewhat-more-favorable downstream instability into parts of
   north-central Texas.  Convection remains largely confined with in WW
   183 at this time, and while we will continue to monitor areas to the
   east, new WW -- north of newly issued WW 185 -- may not be required.

   ..Goss.. 05/05/2024

   ...Please see for graphic product...


   LAT...LON   32070173 32930122 33360055 34019909 33959765 33769708
               32639762 32079908 32070173 

Source link