Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 559

   Mesoscale Discussion 0559
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0219 PM CDT Fri Apr 25 2025

   Areas affected...Central/eastern Kentucky into southern Ohio

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 251919Z - 252115Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

   SUMMARY...An isolated strong/potentially damaging wind gust could
   occur this afternoon. A watch is not needed.

   DISCUSSION...Convection has developed within an area of thinner
   cirrus canopy in central Kentucky. This is occurring in response to
   a weak shortwave in the Midwest. Modest effective shear of around 25
   kts could promote a stronger storm or two. Enhanced 850 mb winds
   ahead of the surface low/cold front will allow few
   stronger/potentially damaging winds to mix to the surface in the
   most intense storms. Furthermore, weak but sufficient low-level
   hodograph curvature is noted in KLVX/KJKL VAD data. It is possible a
   storm or two could exhibit weak low-level rotation. However, tornado
   potential is low. Additionally, low/mid-level lapse rates and
   mid/upper-level wind shear are all weak. Any severe threat that
   develops will be spatially limited and marginal.

   ..Wendt/Smith.. 04/25/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...RLX...JKL...ILN...LMK...

   LAT...LON   37318683 38308511 38918406 38958314 38668274 37738300
               37228395 36868550 36928660 37028676 37318683 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH