Mesoscale Discussion 0442 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0345 PM CDT Thu Apr 10 2025 Areas affected...eastern Tennessee...northern Georgia...extreme western Carolinas Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely Valid 102045Z - 102245Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY...Scattered storms, a few of which may be severe, are likely to affect parts of northern Georgia and eastern Tennessee, and possibly into the far western Carolinas by early evening. DISCUSSION...Storms continue to increase across TN, beneath the cooler midlevel temperatures. Meanwhile, a midlevel cloud band has moved out of the region, allowing heating behind. Given this expected destabilization via heating and advection out of the west, cells moving into the region are expected to remain strong or severe, producing hail and localized wind gusts. The greatest risk of damaging hail will be over southern areas, including northern GA, where temperatures have warmed substantially and lapse rates are quite steep. ..Jewell/Gleason.. 04/10/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...GSP...MRX...FFC...OHX... LAT...LON 33858534 34798555 35278534 35838515 36238490 36508420 36538299 36438240 36048216 35258250 34328322 33618497 33858534 MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN
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