Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 426

   Mesoscale Discussion 0426
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0909 AM CDT Sun Apr 06 2025

   Areas affected...central and southern Alabama...far southeast
   Mississippi...the western Florida Panhandle...and western/central
   Georgia

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 131...

   Valid 061409Z - 061545Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 131 continues.

   SUMMARY...Some strengthening of storms across the eastern parts of
   tornado watch 131 are expected this morning. A tornado watch will
   likely be needed soon.

   DISCUSSION...A relative lull in convective intensity has occurred
   with theline of storms across Alabama and into far southeast
   Mississippi. Some convective coverage/intensity increase has been
   observed across southeast Mississippi and southwest Alabama within
   the last hour or two. This is likely associated with a strengthening
   low-level jet (sampled by the MOB VWP). Downstream of these storms,
   some heating is possible through broken cloud cover which could be
   enough to erode the inhibition in the open warm sector (sample by
   the FFC 12Z RAOB). This strengthening low-level jet, combined with
   some heating/destabilization should support some continued severe
   weather threat east of watch 131 late this morning and into the
   afternoon. Strong deep-layer and low-level shear across the warm
   sector will support rotating updrafts and the potential for some
   tornadoes and damaging wind gusts. Weak lapse rates and mostly
   limited storm mode should keep hail production limited.

   ..Bentley/Guyer.. 04/06/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...FFC...TAE...BMX...MOB...JAN...LIX...

   LAT...LON   30278926 30558955 31238946 31888824 33158696 34088550
               34608431 34018306 32918316 31668465 31028572 30448639
               30298699 30498818 30278926 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-130 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH