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Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 367

Published Date and Time: 2025-04-02 21:23:00












Mesoscale Discussion 367
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   Mesoscale Discussion 0367
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0820 PM CDT Wed Apr 02 2025

   Areas affected...Parts of central Indiana

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 99...

   Valid 030120Z - 030245Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 99 continues.

   SUMMARY...The tornado and damaging-wind risk is spreading
   east-northeastward across central Indiana in Tornado Watch 99.

   DISCUSSION...The latest radar data from IND/VWX shows an intense
   bowing line segment with an embedded supercell structure tracking
   east-northeastward at around 60 kt across central IN. With
   moist/unstable inflow for this system (middle 60s dewpoints) and
   60-70 kt of line-orthogonal 0-6 km shear (pew IND VWP), this intense
   convection will continue to pose a risk of severe wind gusts
   (upwards of 80 mph) and embedded tornadoes. Isolated cells
   developing ahead of the main line will also pose a risk of
   tornadoes, large hail, and damaging winds. 

   Farther south, semi-discrete supercell clusters are also tracking
   east-northeastward within a very favorable environment (350-400
   m2/s2 effective SRH and around 1500 J/kg MLCAPE). This activity will
   continue to pose a risk of tornadoes, large hail, and damaging winds
   as it continues east-northeastward.

   ..Weinman.. 04/03/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...ILN...LMK...IWX...IND...

   LAT...LON   38618735 38928730 39678676 40188638 40498600 40468544
               40268526 39928518 39678533 39098588 38658671 38618735 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...120-150 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN


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