Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 354

   Mesoscale Discussion 0354
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1109 AM CDT Wed Apr 02 2025

   Areas affected...Portions of northern Arkansas into southern
   Missouri

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 96...97...

   Valid 021609Z - 021745Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 96, 97 continues.

   SUMMARY...An zone of greater tornado potential may develop in
   northern Arkansas and southern Missouri over the next few hours.

   DISCUSSION...Storms have remained relatively discrete in western
   Arkansas. Two stronger storms are ongoing in west-central and
   northwest Arkansas. The northwest Arkansas has shown some
   low/mid-level rotation on KSRX and KSGF velocity data. Additionally,
   isolated showers have also developed ahead of these storms and could
   intensify. This activity will have uninhibited access to warm/moist
   air. Temperatures have already risen into the mid/upper 70s F near
   and south of these storms along with dewpoints in the low/mid 60s F.
   Strong low-level shear is evident in area VAD data as well. So long
   as storms remain discrete, this region may see an increase in
   tornado (possibly strong) potential over the next few hours.

   ..Wendt.. 04/02/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...PAH...LSX...LZK...SGF...TSA...

   LAT...LON   36219433 36729368 37449136 37389102 36619075 36499088
               35629173 35139261 34929345 34919424 34979444 36219433 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...120-150 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN