Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 353

   Mesoscale Discussion 0353
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1133 PM CDT Fri Apr 03 2026

   Areas affected...portions of southwestern Missouri...southern and
   eastern Oklahoma...northwestern Arkansas

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 95...

   Valid 040433Z - 040530Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 95
   continues.

   SUMMARY...Severe gusts remain possible with an expansive MCS over
   the next few hours.

   DISCUSSION...A persistent, elongated MCS has materialized from
   southwest MO to south-central OK over the past few hours, with a
   progressive embedded bowing feature continuing across east-central
   OK. This bow has a history of severe gusts, and while the bow has
   diminished a bit in intensity, severe gusts remain possible given
   1000+ J/kg MLCAPE and 35 kts of effective bulk shear remaining in
   place. A severe gust may also occur wherever a additional bowing
   structures may materialize, from southwestern MO to southern OK.
   However, the greatest short-term severe risk remains with the
   progressive bow.

   ..Squitieri.. 04/04/2026

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...LZK...SGF...TSA...FWD...OUN...

   LAT...LON   34389852 34829669 35069621 36219521 37879338 38069307
               38079282 37949252 37449236 36769269 35829349 35099448
               34559519 34179573 33969642 33919726 34019825 34389852 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN