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Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 2222

Published Date and Time: 2024-11-08 16:37:03












Mesoscale Discussion 2222
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   Mesoscale Discussion 2222
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0336 PM CST Fri Nov 08 2024

   Areas affected...south-central Oklahoma to central Texas

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 708...

   Valid 082136Z - 082330Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 708 continues.

   SUMMARY...Local, all-hazards severe risk continues across WW 708.

   DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop depicts essentially a steady-state
   character over the past 1 to 2 hours, in terms of convective
   intensity.  A few storms have exhibited transient/weak rotation, and
   the strongest portion of the line -- extending from south-central
   Oklahoma to just west of the DFW Metroplex -- remains loosely
   organized.  Still, some additional destabilization has occurred in
   the past two hours -- particularly from the Metroplex southward,
   where lesser cloud cover has permitted heating sufficient to push
   mixed-layer CAPE into the 1000 to 1500 J/kg range per RAP-based
   objective analysis.  Given the sufficient background shear which
   remains in place, potential for some ramp-up in severe potential
   could occur over the next 1 to 2 hours, primarily across the
   southern half of the WW.

   ..Goss.. 11/08/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...HGX...FWD...OUN...EWX...

   LAT...LON   34659810 34749769 34269668 31049597 30999795 32809785
               33739780 34659810 


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