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| Mesoscale Discussion 2218 | |
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Mesoscale Discussion 2218 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0751 PM CST Thu Nov 07 2024 Areas affected...west central Texas Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 707... Valid 080151Z - 080245Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 707 continues. SUMMARY...Strong thunderstorm development posing a risk for severe hail and locally strong surface gusts may persist through late evening, southwest of San Angelo into and northeast of the San Angelo vicinity. DISCUSSION...Initial stronger convection has generally consolidated into one small cluster with an embedded supercell, likely aided by low-level forcing for ascent associated with weak warm advection. This convection might now be at least slightly elevated above more stable boundary-layer air and probably will begin to acquire more stable updraft inflow as it progresses slowly east-northeastward into areas northwest of Brownwood during the next hour or two. To the south and southwest of San Angelo, more discrete widely scattered convective cells are still struggling to overcome somewhat stronger mid-level inhibition. However, low-level convergence appears to have increased along a remnant dryline where it is being overtaken by a cold frontal surge. The latest High Resolution Rapid Refresh suggests this might become a focus for increasing thunderstorm development through 04-06Z, though the convection may tend to intensify to the cool side of the surface boundary. ..Kerr.. 11/08/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...FWD...EWX...SJT... LAT...LON 31360085 32129992 32299946 32049878 31429999 30120122 30850140 31360085 |
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