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| Mesoscale Discussion 2204 | |
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Mesoscale Discussion 2204 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0107 PM CST Mon Nov 04 2024 Areas affected...Northern Texas Concerning...Tornado Watch 704... Valid 041907Z - 042030Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 704 continues. SUMMARY...A corridor of higher tornado potential may be developing across northern Texas, including the Dallas/Fort-Worth metro area, based on storm and environmental trends. DISCUSSION...Large-scale ascent associated with the primary upper low across eastern NM/western TX is beginning to overspread central TX as evident by an increase in cellular convection across the warm sector over the past 1-2 hours. More recently, a few cells have show signs of robust intensification within a corridor of higher MLCAPE where temperatures have climbed into the low 80s with low 70s dewpoints. The FWD VWP is sampling 0-1 km SRH values around 150 m2/s2, which, in conjunction with MLCAPE values upwards of 2000 J/kg, is supporting STP values between 1-2 across the region. A couple of robust supercells will likely emerge over the next 1-2 hours with an increasing large hail and tornado threat (including the potential for a strong tornado) prior to the passage of a outflow-dominant squall line from the west. ..Moore.. 11/04/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...SHV...FWD...OUN... LAT...LON 32119794 33159736 33679698 33799653 33859613 33799571 33659552 33359546 32899563 32479598 32199623 31949648 31809675 31709709 31679738 31629761 31709788 31919808 32119794 |
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