Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 2194

   Mesoscale Discussion 2194
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0255 PM CST Sun Nov 03 2024

   Areas affected...portions of central Oklahoma

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 702...

   Valid 032055Z - 032200Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 702 continues.

   SUMMARY...A maturing line of storms may pose a heightened threat for
   severe winds and a few tornadoes over the next 1-2 hours as it
   approaches I-35.

   DISCUSSION...As of 2050 UTC, KFDR and KTLX radar imagery showed a
   maturing thunderstorm cluster has become better organized over the
   last 30 minutes as it has moved across southwestern OK. Emerging
   from an initial group of several independent supercells, the storm
   mode has trended towards a bowing/line segment over time. This trend
   will likely continue as it tracks along and near the stalled frontal
   zone over central OK. Radar velocity measurements have shown
   periodic strong outflow surges with embedded mesovorticies. Large
   low-level streamwise vorticity and strong 0-3 km line-normal shear
   evident on the TLX VAD hodograph will continue to favor a balanced
   QLCS mode as convection approaches the I-35 corridor in the next
   60-90 minutes. Given the strong shear, linear mode, and potential
   for mature mesovorticies, damaging winds (some 70+ mph) a few
   embedded tornadoes are likely in central OK in the next 1-2 hours.

   ..Lyons.. 11/03/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...OUN...

   LAT...LON   35719715 35609697 35279687 34959689 34849707 34669760
               34579864 35309857 35639784 35729740 35719715