Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 2176

   Mesoscale Discussion 2176
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1107 PM CDT Wed Oct 30 2024

   Areas affected...southwest MO

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 697...

   Valid 310407Z - 310500Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 697
   continues.

   SUMMARY...A threat for a couple tornadoes and damaging wind swaths
   may persist across southwest Missouri into the early morning.

   DISCUSSION...A tornadic supercell in far northeast OK has recently
   merged into the broader convective line that extends across much of
   MO from the northeast to the southwest. The Springfield VWP ahead of
   this line supports a rather enlarged low-level hodograph with 0-1 km
   SRH around 500 m2/s2. Tornado potential will persist where surface
   dew points can remain at or above 64 F, which currently extend as
   far northeast as the SGF area. An embedded bowing structure that has
   formed north of the merged supercell should yield an uptick in
   damaging wind potential as well across southwest MO. With time,
   convection will spread farther to the northeast and away from the
   increasingly confined instability plume. This suggests the primary
   severe threat will be over the next couple hours.

   ..Grams.. 10/31/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...SGF...

   LAT...LON   37029434 37359407 37619380 37899356 38279306 38259262
               37959226 37159253 36859284 36649326 36529402 36799427
               37029434