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Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 2174

Published Date and Time: 2024-10-30 22:30:12












Mesoscale Discussion 2174
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   Mesoscale Discussion 2174
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0915 PM CDT Wed Oct 30 2024

   Areas affected...central and eastern OK

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 694...696...

   Valid 310215Z - 310345Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 694, 696 continues.

   SUMMARY...An all-hazards severe threat will persist through
   midnight, with the risk for a couple tornadoes greater over
   northeast to east-central Oklahoma.

   DISCUSSION...An extensive linear convective band along the cold
   front has a history of sporadic wind damage from severe gusts,
   measured recently to 71 mph at the Fort Cobb OK-Mesonet. A separate,
   nearly linear convective line has separately evolved out of earlier
   semi-discrete convection along the far southeast KS/northeast OK
   border area. The frontal convection continues to be largely undercut
   by outflows along it, limiting potential for sustained low-level
   mesocyclones. The threat for a couple tornadoes may be greatest
   along the southern portion of the lead convective band and with any
   discrete supercells that might be sustained from southeast into
   east-central OK. Otherwise, the expectation is for a continued
   sporadic severe wind threat and isolated hail.

   ..Grams.. 10/31/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...SGF...TSA...OUN...

   LAT...LON   35559756 34769861 34529823 34819709 34599596 34909514
               36029429 36679409 36979482 36909581 36309619 35559756 


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