|
|
| Mesoscale Discussion 2172 | |
| < Previous MD | |
|
|
Mesoscale Discussion 2172 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0831 PM CDT Wed Oct 30 2024 Areas affected...eastern OK Concerning...Tornado Watch 696... Valid 310131Z - 310230Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 696 continues. SUMMARY...A sustained supercell or two is possible as storms over southeast Oklahoma potentially deepen while moving north-northeast. An extension of WW 696 or a new WW may be needed. DISCUSSION...Deepening warm-sector convection has increased across southeast OK into far north TX. Environment here is conditionally favorable for sustained supercell development with mid to upper 60s surface dew points and effective SRH around 250-350 m2/s2. Both HRRR and WoFS runs have largely been devoid of development here, but the RRFS has suggested some potential for a supercell or two to become sustained as activity moves north-northeast across eastern OK. With low-level forcing for ascent stronger to the north and west, it is uncertain whether these cells will truly deepen and sustain supercell structures. ..Grams/Hart.. 10/31/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...TSA...FWD...OUN... LAT...LON 35919529 35679489 35319482 34799505 34359537 33779583 33799652 34529628 35449605 35869571 35919529 |
|
|
Top/All Mesoscale Discussions/Forecast Products/Home |
|