|
|
| Mesoscale Discussion 2171 | |
| < Previous MD | |
|
|
Mesoscale Discussion 2171 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0736 PM CDT Wed Oct 30 2024 Areas affected...portions of northeast Kansas and west-central Missouri Concerning...Tornado Watch 695... Valid 310036Z - 310130Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 695 continues. SUMMARY...A bowing segment embedded within the QLCS has shown increased organization over the last 30 minutes. The risk for tornadoes and damaging winds may be increasing. DISCUSSION...Regional radar imagery shows a north-south oriented line segment west of the KC metro has improved in organization rapidly over the last 30 minutes. A more favorable updraft/downdraft orientation appears to have developed with surging outflow. Though recent scans suggests outflow may have outrun it temporarily. While there remains some uncertainty, large low-level streamwise vorticity is evident on the EAX VAD with 180-200 m2/s2 of 0-500 m SRH. The strong low-level shear may support an enhanced tornado or strong damaging wind risk with the more favorably orientated and stronger line segment over the next hour as it moves through the KC Metro. While thermodynamics weaken considerably to the east, strong forcing for ascent along the front should allow for a continued severe risk farther east this evening. ..Lyons.. 10/31/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...EAX...TOP... LAT...LON 38509513 38679519 39349483 39599460 39689419 39649377 39559359 39379360 38879390 38709419 38589445 38519467 38499486 38499496 38509513 |
|
|
Top/All Mesoscale Discussions/Forecast Products/Home |
|