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| Mesoscale Discussion 2169 | |
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Mesoscale Discussion 2169 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0657 PM CDT Wed Oct 30 2024 Areas affected...southeast KS and far northeast OK/southwest MO Concerning...Tornado Watch 695...696... Valid 302357Z - 310100Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 695, 696 continues. SUMMARY...Severe wind and tornado threats are increasing across southeast Kansas into adjacent portions of Missouri and Oklahoma. DISCUSSION...Discrete cells have recently increased across northeast OK, ahead of the linear convective band farther west along the composite outflow/cold front. These cells appear to be on the leading edge of slightly richer low-level moisture and a few of them should deepen into supercells shortly within rather favorable deep-layer shear per the Tulsa VWP. While severe wind potential should remain the primary hazard in terms of coverage as the upstream linear band shifts east-northeast, the tornado threat should increase as these cells become absorbed into the line, where surface dew points at or above 63 F can be maintained. This appears most probable across parts of far northeast OK into southeast KS through 03Z. ..Grams/Hart.. 10/30/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...SGF...EAX...TSA...TOP...ICT... LAT...LON 36719598 37349586 37789584 38029554 38099508 37949472 37759445 37469441 36779495 36469563 36719598 |
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