Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 2114

   Mesoscale Discussion 2114
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1132 AM CDT Thu Sep 26 2024

   Areas affected...central and southern portions of the Florida
   Peninsula

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 683...

   Valid 261632Z - 261830Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 683 continues.

   SUMMARY...Local/brief tornado risk continues across the Florida
   Peninsula and adjacent coastal waters.

   DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop shows a relative dearth of inland
   convection over central and southern Florida, despite the center of
   Helene only approximately 175 nm west of Naples Fl.  With that said,
   additional/banded convection should affect the Peninsula over the
   next several hours as Helene moves slowly northward.  Some hints of
   evolving/cellular convection are now noted over southern Florida
   from Lake Okeechobee south to the far southern Florida Coast, and
   cellular convection is also increasing near and just offshore from
   the Tampa Bay area.  Given favorably strong/weakly veering low-level
   flow indicated across the area, risk for brief tornadoes continues
   with any cellular convection that evolves.

   ..Goss.. 09/26/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...MFL...MLB...KEY...TBW...JAX...TAE...

   LAT...LON   29108354 29608286 29418057 27697948 25727966 24868062
               25278259 29108354