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Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 2021

Published Date and Time: 2024-08-27 21:00:07












Mesoscale Discussion 2021
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   Mesoscale Discussion 2021
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0739 PM CDT Tue Aug 27 2024

   Areas affected...portions of far northern Ohio into extreme
   northwestern Pennsylvania and extreme southwestern New York

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 659...

   Valid 280039Z - 280215Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 659
   continues.

   SUMMARY...Some severe threat will persist for a few more hours in
   and immediately surrounding Severe Thunderstorm Watch 659. Damaging
   gusts remain the primary concern.

   DISCUSSION...A pronounced cold pool, originating from a mature
   persistent elongated convective system, has surged southeastward
   across Lake Erie over the past couple of hours. At least a few
   severe gusts have been observed, and some convective rejuvenation
   has occurred along the cold pool leading edge. Buoyancy
   decreases/MLCINH increases with eastward and southward extent ahead
   of the ongoing storms/cold pool. However, the fast pace of the cold
   pool suggests that continued cellular regeneration and accompanying
   damaging wind gust potential will continue for at least a couple
   more hours.

   ..Squitieri.. 08/28/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...BUF...CTP...PBZ...CLE...

   LAT...LON   40858328 41748140 42268059 42427980 42427919 42177908
               41847921 41387970 41068055 40838138 40638224 40858328 


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