Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 2012

   Mesoscale Discussion 2012
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0557 AM CDT Tue Aug 27 2024

   Areas affected...eastern Minnesota and western Wisconsin

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 271057Z - 271230Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

   SUMMARY...A locally greater severe wind threat will persist across
   eastern Minnesota and western Wisconsin for a few hours this
   morning.

   DISCUSSION...A line of mostly sub-severe storms moved across
   Minnesota this morning. On the southern extent of this line, a more
   organized severe wind threat developed with measured wind gusts of
   50 to 60 knots in portions of the Minneapolis/St. Paul metro area
   after several hours of minimal evidence of severe winds prior. The
   environment across western Wisconsin is somewhat cooler, upper 60s
   vs lower 70s temperatures. This may weaken this portion of the line
   as it moves east. However, it is also possible that this southern
   extent of the main line remains anchored to the instability gradient
   and access to more favorable theta-e and is able to produce
   additional isolated severe wind through the morning across western
   Wisconsin. A watch is not anticipated due to the confined nature of
   the threat at this time.

   ..Bentley/Edwards.. 08/27/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...ARX...MPX...

   LAT...LON   45159339 45459241 45499088 45119057 44749111 44639229
               44579281 44649329 45159339