Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 195

   Mesoscale Discussion 0195
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0653 PM CDT Tue Mar 10 2026

   Areas affected...much of central Oklahoma

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 33...

   Valid 102353Z - 110300Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 33 continues.

   SUMMARY...The environment is becoming more favorable for tornadoes
   along and east of I-35 in Oklahoma, along with damaging hail threat.

   DISCUSSION...A supercell is currently moving across eastern Canadian
   into Oklahoma County, with another supercell currently over Cotton
   moving into Stephens County. Given the discrete nature of these
   cells, they will likely continue to pose a destructive hail and
   tornado threat for several hours and they approach and move across
   the I-35 corridor.

   The latest TLX VWP is showing a gradual increase in low-level shear,
   with 0-1 SRH now over 150 m2/s2. The OK Mesonet shows more robust
   dewpoints generally along and south of a line from CHK to SNL with
   65 to 67 F.

   As such, over the next few hours, the low-level shear and
   environment in general should continue to favor supercells with both
   tornado and large hail risk, as these cells move across I-35. A
   potentially even greater tornado risk could develop in the 00-03Z
   time frame as the low-level jet increases.

   ..Jewell.. 03/10/2026

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...TSA...OUN...

   LAT...LON   34149850 35919809 36299708 36089666 35579651 35019646
               34709657 34369709 34149850 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...120-150 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.00-3.50 IN