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| Mesoscale Discussion 1945 | |
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Mesoscale Discussion 1945
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0158 PM CDT Sun Aug 18 2024
Areas affected...Central/Southern Virginia and the Carolinas
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely
Valid 181858Z - 182100Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent
SUMMARY...Scattered strong to severe storms are likely this
afternoon and evening.
DISCUSSION...Visible satellite trends show deepening cu across much
of the region from central/southern Virginia southward into the
Carolinas. Thunderstorm development is likely to begin in these
regions over the next 1-2 hours. A few cells have developed across
western North Carolina near the higher terrain. The air mass east of
this development is characterized by MLCAPE around 1000-2000 J/kg
with temperatures in the upper 80s-90s and dew points in the low to
mid 70s. This moist and unstable air mass will support multicell
clusters capable of downbursts. A watch will likely be needed to
cover this threat soon.
..Thornton/Hart.. 08/18/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...LWX...RAH...ILM...RNK...CHS...CAE...
GSP...
LAT...LON 33378181 33688201 33978199 35348160 36008126 36708076
37018039 37337988 37577930 37967789 38127730 37957664
37767606 37717601 35957705 34207883 32728138 33378181
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