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Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1811

Published Date and Time: 2024-08-04 00:58:06












Mesoscale Discussion 1811
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   Mesoscale Discussion 1811
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1156 PM CDT Sat Aug 03 2024

   Areas affected...southern MN into far north-central IA

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 593...

   Valid 040456Z - 040630Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 593
   continues.

   SUMMARY...Isolated thunderstorms may pose a risk for marginally
   severe hail and strong gusts for another hour or two across southern
   MN. Storm intensity should gradually wane with southward extent.

   DISCUSSION...An isolated cell on the western flank of the southward
   progressing cluster over southern MN may continue to pose a risk for
   marginally severe hail and strong gusts in the short term. However,
   convection has gradually been weakening over the past hour or so as
   inhibition increases and instability decreases with southward
   extent. Outflow from convection further to the east has also been
   progressing westward across southeast MN, further limiting the warm
   sector airmass. Given trends, a downstream watch is not expected.

   ..Leitman.. 08/04/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...ARX...MPX...DMX...

   LAT...LON   45039330 44109223 43869221 43499241 43219291 43159343
               43219405 43389449 44619510 44769516 45039330 


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