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Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1710

Published Date and Time: 2024-07-25 21:30:03












Mesoscale Discussion 1710
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   Mesoscale Discussion 1710
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0749 PM CDT Thu Jul 25 2024

   Areas affected...North Central and Eastern Montana

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 560...

   Valid 260049Z - 260145Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 560
   continues.

   SUMMARY...The severe threat for WW 560 continues, as thunderstorms
   in northern Montana have organized into a bowing MCS with outflow
   winds capable of severe gusts.

   DISCUSSION...Dry, well mixed boundary layer profiles have supported
   the organization of thunderstorm outflow into linear bowing segments
   capable of 60-70 MPH wind gusts across northern Montana. The most
   intense corridor of thunderstorm winds is currently approaching
   Glasgow, where the apex of the outflow bowing segment shows 55-60 kt
   winds at 1200-1500 feet above ground. Given the well mixed nature of
   the boundary layer, there is little preventing the transfer of this
   momentum to the surface and could result in reports of wind damage.
   Depending on the longevity of the linear segments, local watch
   extension eastward could be needed.

   ..Halbert/Weinman.. 07/26/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...BYZ...GGW...

   LAT...LON   48220806 48500808 48710785 48810739 48850706 48890662
               48930629 48850596 48740580 48370575 48160573 47550583
               47330584 46850603 46770623 46680677 46700726 46700781
               46760800 47040814 47320821 47830827 48130815 48220806 


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