Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1573

   Mesoscale Discussion 1573
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0322 PM CDT Wed Jul 10 2024

   Areas affected...Central Virginia into south-central Pennsylvania

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 518...

   Valid 102022Z - 102215Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 518
   continues.

   SUMMARY...Additional storm development is possible along the cold
   front moving through the Mid-Atlantic. Damaging winds will be the
   primary risk late this afternoon into the evening.

   DISCUSSION...Lack of mid-level ascent has likely contributed to
   storm coverage and intensity being rather low near the Blue Ridge.
   However, with the cold front moving through the region, additional
   storms may develop and organize along this front late this
   afternoon. Temperatures broadly in the low/mid 90s F have
   contributed to 2500+ J/kg MLCAPE. Storm organization will be greater
   farther north given the proximity to the mid-level jet, but cold
   pool mergers could lead to linear structures farther south. Damaging
   winds remain the primary threat.

   ..Wendt.. 07/10/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...AKQ...CTP...LWX...RNK...

   LAT...LON   37227942 38547856 39857820 40177758 40187634 39697615
               38317700 37517757 37077782 36907807 36977866 37227942