Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 153

   Mesoscale Discussion 0153
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0541 PM CST Fri Mar 06 2026

   Areas affected...Portions of central and northeast Oklahoma

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 15...

   Valid 062341Z - 070115Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 15 continues.

   SUMMARY...Scattered supercells will spread northeast across
   east-central and northeast Oklahoma this evening.

   DISCUSSION...Roughly half a dozen supercells have evolved within a
   larger complex of convection across east-central into northeast
   Oklahoma. This activity has evolved along the eastern most plume of
   steeper low-level lapse rates where boundary layer remains moist and
   MLCAPE values are holding around 2000 J/kg. LLJ is currently focused
   across eastern OK, and some strengthening is expected during the
   evening hours. Current thinking is, for the next few hours, the
   greatest concentration of convection/supercells will be along a
   corridor from near Ada into the northeast corner of ww015.

   ..Darrow.. 03/06/2026

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...TSA...OUN...

   LAT...LON   35179718 36849614 36589468 35609506 34789631 35179718 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...120-150 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.00-3.50 IN