Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1527

   Mesoscale Discussion 1527
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0546 PM CDT Wed Jul 03 2024

   Areas affected...southeast CO and southwest KS

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 502...

   Valid 032246Z - 040015Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 502
   continues.

   SUMMARY...A swath of severe wind gusts will likely spread into
   southwest Kansas from southeast Colorado. Gusts of 60-75 mph are
   probable.

   DISCUSSION...Initial cells are consolidating into a small cluster
   near and south of LHX in southeast CO. While this process is
   yielding weakening MRMS MESH cores, the threat for severe wind gusts
   will likely persist eastward as the cluster impinges on peak MLCAPE
   around 2000 J/kg near the southwest KS border. Recent WoFS guidance
   has been consistent that severe wind gusts will likely spread at
   least a couple tiers of counties into KS, with speeds of 70-75 mph
   anticipated.

   ..Grams.. 07/03/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...DDC...GLD...PUB...

   LAT...LON   38110369 38460225 38440154 38000118 37590135 37340208
               37560338 38110369