Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1514

   Mesoscale Discussion 1514
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0558 PM CDT Tue Jul 02 2024

   Areas affected...portions of south-central Kansas

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 499...

   Valid 022258Z - 030000Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 499
   continues.

   SUMMARY...A focused corridor of strong to severe wind gusts (50-70
   mph) may accompany a rapidly propagating bowing MCS across southern
   KS.

   DISCUSSION...An MCS has recently organized across southern KS over
   the past couple of hours. This MCS has recently shown some bowing
   structure, with rapid propagation speeds potentially exceeding 50
   mph, and several estimated and measured severe gusts reported.
   Preceding this bow-echo MCS is a deep, mixed boundary layer,
   characterized by 8-9 C/km 0-3 km lapse rates per 22Z mesoanalysis.
   This favorable boundary layer may foster efficient evaporative
   cooling to support a focused corridor (through the axis of steepest
   low-level lapse rates) of strong to severe gusts within the 50-70
   mph range for at least a few more hours.

   ..Squitieri.. 07/02/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...TOP...ICT...

   LAT...LON   37189735 37909715 38359670 38499616 38269590 37789582
               37349610 37149654 37189735