Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1507

   Mesoscale Discussion 1507
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0748 PM CDT Sat Jul 04 2026

   Areas affected...Northeast and central Oklahoma

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 460...

   Valid 050048Z - 050215Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 460
   continues.

   SUMMARY...The main wind surge through about 02z will continue into
   northeast Oklahoma, including the Tulsa area.  Additional
   strong-severe storm development remains possible farther west, to
   the immediate north of the OKC metro area.

   DISCUSSION...The earlier storms along the KS/OK border have evolved
   into a bowing cluster with measured gusts of 61-66 mph via the OK
   mesonet.  Though outflow is a bit ahead of the primary
   reflectivity/updrafts, the storms are well organized and should
   remain so across northeast OK in a strongly unstable environment
   with substantial deep-layer northwesterly shear.  Farther west,
   there is still the potential for new storm development north of the
   OKC metro where outflow interactions are occurring.  The environment
   is less moist compared to northeast OK, but ascent atop the outflows
   in a steep lapse rate environment could still support new updraft
   development and a subsequent threat for severe outflow gusts through
   at least 02z.

   ..Thompson.. 07/05/2026

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...TSA...ICT...OUN...

   LAT...LON   35439660 35369756 35579811 35889843 36069836 36029788
               36049745 36129657 36449597 37049584 37149544 36909507
               36399497 35879522 35529576 35439660 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 90 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN