Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1506

   Mesoscale Discussion 1506
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0451 PM CDT Mon Jul 01 2024

   Areas affected...Northern High Plains

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 494...

   Valid 012151Z - 012315Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 494
   continues.

   SUMMARY...Convection should continue increasing across the northern
   High Plains this evening.

   DISCUSSION...Mid-level short-wave trough is currently progressing
   across eastern MT/WY, per latest water-vapor imagery. Notable
   synoptic front has now surged across western ND, arcing through
   western SD into central WY. Scattered robust convection has evolved
   along this boundary and the strongest storms are now growing upscale
   as larger clusters begin to emerge. Over the next few hours there is
   increasing confidence that a corridor of significant convection will
   materialize from Bennett County SD to east of Mobridge, coincident
   with a pre-frontal axis of higher buoyancy.

   ..Darrow.. 07/01/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...ABR...LBF...UNR...

   LAT...LON   45249941 42910149 43370263 45770052 45249941