Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1488

   Mesoscale Discussion 1488
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0323 AM CDT Sat Jul 04 2026

   Areas affected...Far northeast CO into northwest KS

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 453...

   Valid 040823Z - 041000Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 453
   continues.

   SUMMARY...Localized severe gusts and isolated hail remain possible
   through the early morning.

   DISCUSSION...Earlier intense supercells have evolved into a small
   bowing segment across far northeast CO as of 0815 UTC. This small
   cluster has a history of producing observed severe gusts, and may
   continue to pose a severe-wind and isolated hail threat as it moves
   into far northwest KS. Extensive downstream convection near and
   southeast of Goodland may eventually limit the longevity and eastern
   extent of the severe threat of this cluster. The strongest storms
   within the warm-advection regime may also pose a threat for isolated
   hail and localized strong to severe gusts, given the presence of
   moderate elevated buoyancy and sufficient effective shear.

   ..Dean.. 07/04/2026

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...DDC...GLD...

   LAT...LON   40040219 40010117 39900018 39370001 38969994 38680008
               38510022 38590129 38750201 38880245 39270263 40040219 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN