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Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1469

Mesoscale Discussion 1469
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   Mesoscale Discussion 1469
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0942 PM CDT Fri Jun 28 2024

   Areas affected...portions of northwestern Minnesota

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 290242Z - 290345Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

   SUMMARY...A localized threat for mainly severe gusts and perhaps
   hail will accompany a cluster of storms over northwestern MN for a
   couple more hours. Given the localized nature of the severe threat,
   a WW issuance is not needed.

   DISCUSSION...A persistent cluster of thunderstorms has intensified
   over the past hour, with a measured 72 mph wind gust recently
   reported. This thunderstorm cluster is rapidly translating eastward
   amid a marginally buoyant but adequately sheared environment
   (elongated hodographs and accompanying 50 kts of effective bulk
   shear). The severe threat should be confined to this small storm
   cluster, and the duration of these storms may be temporally limited
   by increasing MLCINH. Nonetheless, a couple more severe gusts cannot
   be ruled out. Given the brief, localized nature of the severe
   threat, a WW issuance is not needed.

   ..Squitieri/Smith.. 06/29/2024

   ...Please see for graphic product...


   LAT...LON   47029530 47139613 47339659 47589677 47899668 47959560
               47389411 46999433 47029530 

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