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| Mesoscale Discussion 1468 | |
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Mesoscale Discussion 1468 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0927 PM CDT Fri Jun 28 2024 Areas affected...portions of northeastern Kansas into northwestern Missouri Concerning...Tornado Watch 480... Valid 290227Z - 290400Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 480 continues. SUMMARY...The severe threat continues across Tornado Watch 480. Severe wind and hail are the main threats, though a tornado remains possible. DISCUSSION...The severe threat is generally confined to two main areas of convection. The first is in far eastern KS with a dominant supercell, and the other is with a supercell over extreme northwestern MO. Both of these storms persist amid an axis of strong buoyancy (3000+ J/kg MLCAPE) and 40+ kts of effective bulk shear. As such, supercell structures may be maintained for another hour or so, before upscale growth into storm clusters occurs, accompanied by a continued threat for severe gusts and large hail. A tornado also remains possible. However, the supercell over eastern KS appears to be HP and is potentially merging with nearby convection. Some of the latest HRRR runs depict the possibility of ongoing storms merging into a bow-echo structure. Should this occur, severe gusts will become the main threat. ..Squitieri.. 06/29/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...EAX...OAX...TOP... LAT...LON 38979659 39629602 40199552 40519511 40549453 40459404 40429387 39719311 39079324 38369415 38089493 38099574 38239612 38979659 |
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