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Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1460












Mesoscale Discussion 1460
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   Mesoscale Discussion 1460
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0128 AM CDT Fri Jun 28 2024

   Areas affected...eastern South Dakota...southeastern North
   Dakota...west central and southwestern Minnesota

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 479...

   Valid 280628Z - 280830Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 479
   continues.

   SUMMARY...The risk for strong, potentially damaging wind gusts
   appears to be in the process of waning and this probably will
   continue as convection spreads east of WW 479.  A new severe weather
   watch is not anticipated, but trends will continue to be monitored.

   DISCUSSION...The conglomerate surface cold pool has maintained a
   general eastward propagation in excess of 40 kt, accompanied by
   occasional strong surface gusts.  However, trends in MRMS CAPPI,
   among other data, suggest that peak intensities within the more
   intense leading line are diminishing, as increasingly elevated
   updraft inflow becomes less unstable.  These trends are expected to
   continue as convection spreads into the upper Mississippi Valley
   through daybreak.

   ..Kerr.. 06/28/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...MPX...FGF...FSD...ABR...

   LAT...LON   45379748 46499762 46519521 44009545 43219699 43709777
               44589775 45379748 


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