US Mesoscale Discussions

Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1457

   Mesoscale Discussion 1457
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0904 PM CDT Thu Jun 27 2024

   Areas affected...southwestern Kansas and the Oklahoma Panhandle

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 477...

   Valid 280204Z - 280300Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 477

   SUMMARY...Severe weather risk remains maximized along the Oklahoma
   Panhandle/southwestern Kansas border, where damaging winds and hail
   remain possible.

   DISCUSSION...A small cluster of strong/severe storms continues
   moving eastward across the border area of the Oklahoma Panhandle and
   southwestern Kansas.  The storms are occurring within a moderately
   unstable environment, aided by a 40 kt southwesterly low-level jet,
   and remain capable of producing hail in excess of severe levels, and
   damaging wind gusts to 70 mph.  

   East of the watch, a more stable airmass is indicated, suggesting
   lesser severe risk with eastward extent.  As such, downstream WW
   issuance may not be required, with primary risk likely to remain
   confined to areas with WW 477.

   ..Goss.. 06/28/2024

   ...Please see for graphic product...


   LAT...LON   37579847 36649945 36540092 36990110 37999941 38269852

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