Mesoscale Discussion 1435 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0543 PM CDT Wed Jun 26 2024 Areas affected...eastern Kentucky across West Virginia into parts of Maryland and Virginia Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 467... Valid 262243Z - 270045Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 467 continues. SUMMARY...Local severe risk continues across southern portions of WW 467, though weaker instability farther east casts some uncertainty on the potential need for a downstream watch across northern and western Virginia/Maryland. DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop shows generally disorganized/sub-severe convection ongoing across eastern Kentucky and southern/eastern West Virginia at this time, east of the advancing cold front. Local risk for gusty/damaging winds remains, with the strongest cells, but overall severe potential should continue to gradually diminish this evening. Farther east, a less unstable airmass is indicated, per RAP-based objective analysis. As such, storm intensity is not expected to increase substantially. Additionally, modest flow aloft up to roughly 3 to 4 KM AGL also suggests limited potential for severe-caliber gusts. However, with that said, temperatures well into the 90s across the area are indicative of a deeply mixed boundary layer, suggestive that some evaporative cooling potential exists -- enhancing the risk for strong outflow winds locally. At this time, WW issuance appears unlikely to be needed, though if the aforementioned outflow potential could result in organized cold pool growth/expansion, greater wind risk in that scenario could require reconsideration of the need for a WW. ..Goss.. 06/26/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...AKQ...LWX...RNK...PBZ...RLX...MRX...JKL... LAT...LON 37278409 38198180 39287951 39677856 39537632 37897713 37577911 36968216 37278409