Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1430

   Mesoscale Discussion 1430
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0331 PM CDT Wed Jun 26 2024

   Areas affected...Southeast Texas into west-central Louisiana

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 465...

   Valid 262031Z - 262200Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 465
   continues.

   SUMMARY...A convective line moving south across East TX into
   West-Central LA will continue to move south and weaken as it exits
   the WW area. While additional convective development is ongoing
   ahead of the line, additional downstream WW issuance is not expected
   due an anticipated lack of convective organization.

   DISCUSSION...A bowing line of thunderstorms is exiting the watch
   area into West-Central LA and East TX. Radar trends indicate the
   overall coverage and intensity of convection is weakening, and the
   severe threat both ahead and behind the line will decrease this
   afternoon... though isolated severe wind gusts may be possible in
   the short term. 

   Further south, daytime airmass thunderstorms have developed in
   West-Central LA, but remain unorganized with the absence of
   supportive deep-layer vertical shear. 

   Given current convective trends, downstream weather watch issuance
   is not expected.

   ..Halbert/Weinman.. 06/26/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...LCH...SHV...HGX...

   LAT...LON   31609445 31649405 31669323 31689279 31529227 31219217
               30979224 30789250 30649272 30549309 30569355 30549389
               30569427 30679465 30769485 31089515 31089515 31259523
               31469526 31609445